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文章针对FDI对国内投资挤入、挤出效应动态变化的特点,对1985-2006年国内投资进行Chow检验,发现全国范围、东、中、西部地区国内投资分别在1992年、1989年、1990年、1998年出现结构变化。再次,以王志鹏(2004)构建的绝对挤出模型,根据PanelData模型,分阶段研究FDI对国内投资的挤入挤出效应,研究发现:全国范围和东部地区出现有较为明显的挤出效应,中部地区有较为明显的挤入效应,而西部地区则经历了一个由挤出到挤入的过程。最后得出了FDI在同时间段对全国范围、东、中、西部地区国内投资挤入挤出效应结论,并分析起了其成因。
In this paper, Chow test of domestic investment from 1985 to 2006 shows that the domestic investment in the whole country, east, middle and west regions are respectively in 1992, 1989 and 1990 In 1998, structural changes occurred. Thirdly, according to the absolute extrusion model built by Wang Zhipeng (2004), according to the PanelData model, the crowding-in effect of FDI on domestic investment is studied in stages. The results show that there are obvious extrusion effects in the whole country and the eastern part, The region has a more pronounced crowding in effect, while the western region has undergone a process from extrusion to crowding in. At last, we conclude that FDI has crowded out the crowding-in effect in the same period of time in the whole country, in the east, in the middle and the west, and has analyzed its causes.