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本文在吸收“十一五”研究成果的基础上,借鉴承压类特种设备风险评价技术成熟理论,提出了客运索道定量风险评估流程;通过引入设备特征系数、管理系数和失效系数对客运索道定量失效概率进行修正,将人员伤亡和经济损失两个定量失效后果转化为经济指标进行计算;给出了风险等级评定的准则,提出了客运索道定量风险评估具体方法和指标;通过给出应用案例,认为该方法具有可操作性,适合我国索道情况,应用前景良好。
Based on the research results of Eleventh Five-Year Plan, this paper draws on the maturity theory of risk assessment technology for pressure-type special equipment and puts forward a quantitative risk assessment procedure for passenger ropeway. By introducing the characteristics of equipment, management factor and failure coefficient, The probability of ropeway quantitative failure is corrected, and the quantitative consequences of casualties and economic losses are converted into economic indicators; the criteria of risk grade assessment are given, and the specific methods and indexes for quantitative risk assessment of passenger ropeway are proposed. Case, that the method has maneuverability, suitable for our cableway situation, the application prospect is good.