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本文首先概略地介绍了2011年度诺贝尔经济学奖得主萨金特(Thomas J.Sargent)和西姆斯(Christopher A.Sims)的学术思想发展轨迹以及他们的重要学术论著,然后对他们有关理性预期约束下宏观计量经济分析的主要贡献——结构宏观计量经济学和向量自回归模型的理论和应用研究——进行比较全面的述评,最后探讨了他们的宏观经济理论及计量方法贡献对我国经济理论研究以及宏观经济政策制定的启示。
This article starts with an overview of the academic trajectory of the 2011 Nobel prize winners Thomas J. Sargent and Christopher A. Sims and their important scholarly treatises, The main contribution of macroeconomic analysis under the expected constraints - the theoretical and applied research of structural macroeconomics and vector autoregressive model - to conduct a more comprehensive review, and finally to discuss their macroeconomic theory and contribution of measurement methods to China’s economy Theoretical research and macroeconomic policy enlightenment.