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在信息时代,历史研究何去何从,是史学理论的宏大问题;对于具体的史学研究者,则是涉及个人研究工作安排的微观问题。本文认为,史学的未来发展趋势,将会是“数字史学”的兴起;文章以“数据挖掘”技术的应用为例,说明历史研究未来的研究方法。由于信息技术日新月异,数字史学作为一门新生事物具有巨大发展前景,但它并不会挤压传统史学的生存空间。相反,历史研究将主动吸纳数字史学的概念和方法,实现学术研究的“数字化生存”。
In the information age, where the historical research is going is an ambitious problem of the theory of history. For a specific historian, it is a micro-issue involving the work of individual research. This paper argues that the future trend of history will be the rise of “digital historiography”. The article uses the application of “data mining” technology as an example to illustrate the future research methods of historical research. Due to the rapid development of information technology, digital historiography has great potential as a new birth, but it will not squeeze the living space of traditional historiography. On the contrary, historical research will take the initiative to absorb the concepts and methods of digital historiography to achieve the “digital existence” of academic research.