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当前全球经济危机和其他社会经济和政治事件,使得我们能够更好的理解全球运输和物流系统和网络未来的(中/长期)可持续性发展。但奇怪的是,虽然运输和物流是全球增长和贸易比较相关的部门,对物流的未来情景系统识别,真可谓是相当有限的。本文旨在通过使用基于SPA的定性定量方法填补这一空白,以提供若干全球物流宏观情景对欧洲区域的影响评估。
The current global economic crisis and other socio-economic and political events have enabled us to better understand the (medium / long-term) sustainability of the global transport and logistics systems and networks in the future. But what is strange is that while transport and logistics are the more relevant sectors of global growth and trade, systematic recognition of the future of logistics is indeed quite limited. This paper aims to fill this gap by using a qualitative and quantitative approach based on SPA to provide an assessment of the impact of several global logistics macro scenarios on the European region.