《地震对策》后语

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地震科学不只是一门多边的边缘科学,而且是横跨自然科学和社会科学的“横断学科”。《地震对策》一书就是这个“横断学科”的体现。本文首先概括介绍了《地震对策》一书的基本特点:它是中国第一部地震对策方面的著作,对地震对策作了较系统的总结;以地震预报为主线;突出救灾;列举不同地区对策实例,并按地震地区的地形、地貌、人文、经济、地震发生的季节、时间等特点较全面地撰写对策;取材广泛、内容丰富、具有普遍参考价值;读者对象适用性强;体现社会经济效益,可望在未来的大震活动高潮期中将起到一定的减灾作用。文章继而指出今后尚待进一步探讨的问题,包括今后应对地震对策的理论和定量化作进一步探讨;对对策条例和规范作进一步提炼和归纳;随时间变化有待进一步研究充实;针对地震活动高潮期与低潮期对策的不同特点,今后应不断补充、修改,使其规范化和条例化。文章最后指出,鉴于地震预报对策是整个地震对策的核心,对以下六个方面应予以重视:①地震前兆异常是宏观的量;②前兆场是散点布成的不规则“场”;③震源是地壳中既能集中应力又能很快释放应力的“开放系统”;④模式综合分析和数学综合分析是互不代替、相辅相成的两个方面;⑤重演是相对的,可变的,要从发展上综合解析震源;⑥测震指标与其它前兆相结合,可取长补短有利于地震预报。 Earthquake science is not just a multilateral fringe science, but also a “transversal discipline” that spans natural and social sciences. “Earthquake Countermeasures” book is this “cross-discipline” embodiment. This paper first outlines the basic features of the book Earthquake Countermeasures: It is the first book on earthquake response in China and provides a systematic summary of the earthquake response. The earthquake prediction is the main line; disaster relief is highlighted; and the countermeasures in different regions are listed Examples, and according to the topography, geomorphology, humanities, economy, earthquake seasons and time in the earthquake area, etc., to write more comprehensive countermeasures. The materials are extensive, rich in content and have universal reference value. The audiences have strong applicability and social and economic benefits , Is expected to play a certain role in disaster mitigation in the future climax of the earthquake. The article then points out the issues that need to be further explored in the future, including further discussion on the theory and quantification of the response to earthquakes in the future, the further refinement and induction of countermeasures and norms, the further study and enrichment over the course of time, The different characteristics of the low tide measures should be continuously supplemented and revised in the future so as to standardize and standardize them. Finally, the paper points out that in view of the earthquake prediction strategy is the core of the entire earthquake response measures, the following six aspects should be paid attention to: ① earthquake precursor anomaly is a macro amount; ② precursor field is scattered irregular “field”; ③ source Is the “open system” in the crust that can not only concentrate stress but also release stress quickly; (4) comprehensive analysis of modes and mathematical comprehensive analysis are two aspects which are mutually substituting and mutually reinforcing; (5) repetition is relative and variable Comprehensive analysis of the development of the source; ⑥ seismic indicators combined with other precursors, learn from each other is good for earthquake prediction.
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