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对地震现象的预测现有的方法和手段所作的分析表明,迄今对地震及地震振动问题尚无可靠的解决办法。地震现象的预测乃是基于对间接确定地球内部应力的资料进行提取和分析。可以认为,记录应力和形变状态的变化将会改善预报研究。岩石力学性质在不同尺度上的不均匀性和不连续性,要求在许多点上同时观测应力变化。现有的地震前兆观测结果表明,形变的异常变化范围为10~(-7)～10~(-8)。记录应力变化的仪器也必须具有这种灵敏度。此外,正在研制的仪器必须造价低廉、制造容易、操作简便。为预测地震现象,本文作者业已研制和发
The analysis of existing methods and means of predicting earthquake phenomena shows that so far there is no reliable solution to the problems of earthquakes and seismic vibrations. Earthquake prediction is based on the extraction and analysis of data that indirectly determine the Earth’s internal stress. It is believed that changes in recorded stress and deformation will improve forecast studies. The heterogeneity and discontinuity of rock mechanics properties at different scales require simultaneous observation of stress changes at many points. The existing seismic precursory observations show that the anomalous deformation range of 10 ~ (-7) ~ 10 ~ (-8). Instruments that record stress changes must also have this sensitivity. In addition, the instruments under development must be inexpensive, easy to manufacture and easy to use. In order to predict the earthquake phenomenon, the author has developed and developed