进入2013年,先进国家的经济应该能够在低速增长的轨道上前行,而新兴工业国家的增长率会出现下滑,甚至有泡沫崩溃的可能。从全球经济看,非洲人口增加、地球温室化气候变动、新兴工业国的经济增长后,出现了能源及粮食的大量需求。从GDP规模及人口数量看,美国、中国、印度三国将压倒其他国家,成为主导国际政治经济的主要国家。气候带来的影响也不可轻视。覆盖北极圈的厚冰已经开始融化,这造成了 In 2013, the economies of advanced countries should be able to move forward on the track of slow growth, while the growth rates of emerging industrial countries will decline, even with the possibility of a bubble collapse. In the global economy, there has been a huge demand for energy and food after the increase of population in Africa, the global warming of the climate and the economic growth of the newly industrialized countries. From the perspective of GDP size and population, the United States, China and India will overwhelm other countries and become the major countries that will dominate the international political economy. The impact of climate should not be underestimated. Thick ice covering the Arctic Circle has begun to melt, which has caused it