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联合国LINK中心根据经济计量模型,用定性和定量分析相结合的方法研究宏观经济政策变化对经济的影响.1994年称LINK中心对明年世界经济、亚太地区宏观经济进行了分析与预测.一、世界经济形势预测根据联合国LINK中心世界经济模型的预测,明年全世界经济增长速度将达到2.8%,西方发达的市场经济国家,除日本外,其经济都已全面复苏.今年北美(美国和加拿大)GDP增长率达3.5%,比1993年高0.6个百分点,明年将保持3%左右的增长.欧共体国家的GDP增长率今年为2.2%,增幅高出去年2.8个百分点,明年将达到2.9%.今明两年欧洲其它发达国家的GDP增长率与欧共体大体相同.日本经
The United Nations LINK Center studies the impact of macroeconomic policy changes on the economy based on the econometric model based on the econometric model and qualitative and quantitative analysis. In 1994, the LINK Center analyzed and predicted the macro economy of the world economy and the Asia Pacific region in next year. Forecast of Economic Situation According to the prediction of the world economic model of the UN LINK Center, the economic growth of the world will reach 2.8% next year and the developed market economies in the West will have an overall economic recovery except Japan This year, the GDP of North America (the United States and Canada) The growth rate will reach 3.5%, 0.6 percentage points higher than that in 1993 and will continue to grow by about 3% next year. The GDP growth of the EC countries this year was 2.2%, up 2.8 percentage points from the previous year and 2.9% next year. The GDP growth rate of other developed countries in Europe and Europe in the next two years will be roughly the same as that in the EC