摩根士丹利最近发布的一份报告称,中国政府显示出了推进结构性改革的强烈意愿而且已经开始实施了部分结构性改革措施。在去杠杆化过程中经济增速变化的路径最有可能是一个“浅U形”。报告称,根据内需的增长势头和该机构对未来18个月的全球需求预期,中国经济增速急剧放缓的情况可以避免,因此深底U形或二次探底W形中的V形部分发生概率相当小。摩根士丹利中国经济指数(MS-CHEX)显示,随着2013年上半年经济增长放缓,CHEX增长率在近几个月来显 A recent Morgan Stanley report states that the Chinese government has shown strong willingness to push ahead with structural reforms and has embarked on partial structural reforms. The path of economic growth in the process of deleveraging is most likely to be a “shallow U shape.” The report said that according to the growth momentum of domestic demand and the agency’s global demand for the next 18 months, the sharp slowdown in China’s economic growth can be avoided. Therefore, the V-shaped part of the deep bottom U-shape or secondary bottom W-shape The probability of occurrence is quite small. The Morgan Stanley China Economic Index (MS-CHEX) shows that with the slowdown in economic growth in the first half of 2013, the CHEX growth rate has risen in recent months