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从计划经济时代起我国就形成了通过单边变动财政投资规模进行宏观调控的做法。自1998年以来启用的积极财政政策仍采用了以增加投资性支出为主的单边扩张性财政措施。该政策对保证GDP每年7—8％的增幅起到了主要作用,但也出现了我国经济增长过度依赖国债投资,扩张性财政政策难以淡出的问题。这在我国以往财政宏观调控中从未出现过,其原因是什么,我国的财政宏观调控是否应从单一措施向复合措施转化,这即是本文所要探讨的问题。
From the era of planned economy, our country has formed a macro-control approach through the unilateral change of the scale of financial investment. The pro-active fiscal policies that have been in place since 1998 are still adopting unilateral expansionary fiscal measures focusing on increasing investment expenditures. This policy plays a major role in ensuring an annual increase of 7-8% in GDP, but it also appears that it is difficult for China’s economic growth to rely on excessive investment in government bonds and to expand its fiscal policy. This has never happened before in China’s macroeconomic regulation and control. What is the reason for this? Should China’s fiscal macroeconomic regulation and control be transformed from a single measure to a composite measure? This is the issue to be explored in this article.