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地方政府推行产业政策的一个重要渠道就是实施经济开发区内的主导产业政策。基于2000~2007年持续经营的工业企业和城市层面开发区及主导产业数据,文章考察了主导产业政策对企业绩效的影响,并重点关注其对于周边地区企业成长的外溢效应。基于倍差法和倾向得分匹配方法的研究表明,主导产业政策的确有利于当地该产业的企业成长。然而,我们发现主导产业政策对于政治距离邻近的相邻城市存在显著负向的挤出效应,这与主导产业过度建设和要素转移效应密不可分,并且在考虑外溢指标、企业绩效指标和持续样本数据后结论依旧稳健。我们还通过区分企业所有制、行业技术密集度和地理位置,证实挤出效应的存在。本研究表明主导产业的过度建设会抑制周边城市的产业发展。
An important channel for local governments to implement industrial policies is to implement the leading industrial policies in the economic development zones. Based on the continuous management of industrial enterprises, urban development zones and leading industry data from 2000 to 2007, the paper examines the impact of leading industrial policies on business performance and focuses on the spillover effects on the growth of enterprises in the surrounding areas. The research based on the method of multiples difference and propensity score matching shows that the dominant industrial policy does benefit the growth of local enterprises in this industry. However, we find that the leading industry policy has a significant negative squeeze effect on the neighboring cities with the similar political distance. This is closely related to the over-construction of leading industries and the effect of factor transfer. In considering the spillover indicators, business performance indicators and continuous sample data After the conclusion is still solid. We also confirm the crowding out effect by differentiating between business ownership, industry technology intensity, and geographic location. This study shows that the excessive construction of leading industries will restrain the industrial development in the surrounding cities.