芝加哥大学的罗伯特·卢斯卡教授是他那一代人中最有影响的大经济学家。他发展了被视为“合理预测”的思想。他的著作改变了大经济学理论和经济学家们思考经济政策的方式。 预测对经济行为来说是重要的。你可能认为,预测是向前的。但直到70年代,经济学家们仍然运用这种模式, Professor Robert Lukas of the University of Chicago is the most influential big economist in his generation. He developed the idea of ​​being considered “reasonably predictable.” His writings have changed the way big economics theory and economists think about economic policy. Forecasting is important for economic behavior. You may think that the forecast is forward. But until the 1970s, economists still use this model,