1982年华中工学院邓聚龙教授创立的灰色系统理论得到了国内外有关学者的普遍关注。几年来,该理论在区域规划、农业区划、社会经济以及气象、水利等部门广泛采用。我们试用灰色系统理论对阿勒泰地区人口、粮食总产量和年末牲畜存栏头数三个重要经济指标进行预测,为当前的流域规划和国土整治提供一点分析论证的依据。 1982, Huazhong Polytechnic University Professor Deng Jurong founded the gray system theory has been widespread concern of scholars at home and abroad. In recent years, the theory has been widely adopted in regional planning, agricultural zoning, socio-economy and meteorology and water conservancy. We try the gray system theory to forecast the population, total grain output and the end of the year the number of livestock in the Aletai area three important economic indicators to provide a basis for the current watershed planning and land remediation to provide a little analysis and demonstration.