一、引言我们提出一个由农业生产率的提高或出口的繁荣而引致的工业化模型。农业生产率的提高或出口的繁荣会提高收入,并由此增加对国内制造业的需求。随着国内市场的扩大,在较小的市场上不能打破均衡的收益递增的生产技术会得到有利的采用,并使工业扩张。生产性农业或出口在产生对制造业的国内需求上的关键作用已 I. INTRODUCTION We propose a model of industrialization resulting from the improvement of agricultural productivity or the prosperity of exports. Increased agricultural productivity or the boom in exports will boost incomes and thereby increase the demand for domestic manufacturing. As the domestic market expands, production technologies that can not break a balanced incremental return in smaller markets will be favorably adopted and the industry will expand. Productive agriculture or exports have a key role in generating domestic demand for manufacturing