预测,是人们对未来某种可确定的东西或未知的事件进行事先的调查研究和分析,作出符合事物发展规律的设想,或叫结论,以指导人们的实际行动和方向。预测是厂长决策的基础,厂长决策是否正确虽然受多种因素的影响。但预测的准确性如何是最重要的,因为最后作出抉择所依据的基础是预测,它所提供的信息如不完整,不精确,不可靠,那就作不出正确的决策。我们不难设想一个不正确的预测所提供的信息,对决策会产生什么样的恶果。而较正确的预测,可以使厂长在变化多端的经济活动中避免盲目性,帮助厂长利用有利的时机作出成功的决策,制定出科学的准确的灵活的计划,从而给企业带 Forecasting is that people conduct prior investigations and analyses of certain identifiable things or unknown events in the future, and make assumptions or conclusions that are consistent with the law of development of things, in order to guide people’s actual actions and directions. Forecasting is the basis of decision-making by the director, and the correctness of the director’s decision is influenced by many factors. However, the accuracy of prediction is the most important, because the basis for making the final decision is the prediction. If the information it provides is incomplete, inaccurate, and unreliable, then it cannot make the right decision. It is not difficult for us to conceive of the information provided by an incorrect forecast and what consequences it will have for decision making. And more accurate predictions can enable the director to avoid blindness in changing economic activities and help the factory manager make use of favorable timings to make successful decisions and formulate scientifically accurate and flexible plans to bring the company with