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自2009年以来,碳价格持续低迷且低于其估计值。特别是进入2011年,各方关于《京都议定书》第二承诺期2012—2020年的减排义务仍未达成一致,碳价格又出现一波急剧下降,2012年4月更是创出历史新低6.21欧元,5月碳价格在6—7欧元上下徘徊。低估的碳价格反映出全球碳市场发展尚存在很大不确定性。而我国碳市场发展处于起步阶段,并即将开展碳交易试点,全球碳市场发展的不确定性将带给我国严峻挑战。一、低估的碳价格:全球碳市场发展不确定性的信号碳价格的走势是全球碳市场发展的风向标。作为全球碳市场的引擎和欧盟气候政策的支柱,欧盟碳排放交易体系(EU ETS)配额EUA的价格已成为全球碳市场的基准价格(如
Since 2009, carbon prices have remained weak and below their estimates. In particular, entering 2011, the parties agreed on the emission reduction obligations for the second commitment period of 2012-2020 for the Kyoto Protocol have not yet reached an agreement, a sharp wave of another sharp decline in carbon prices, a new record low in April 2012 6.21 Euro, May carbon prices hovering around 6-7 euros. The underestimated carbon price reflects the great uncertainty about the development of the global carbon market. The development of China's carbon market is in its infancy, and the carbon trading pilot will be launched soon. The uncertainty of the development of the global carbon market will bring severe challenges to our country. First, the underestimated carbon prices: the uncertainty of the development of the global carbon market, the trend of the price of carbon is the benchmark for the development of the global carbon market. As the engine of the global carbon market and the pillar of the EU climate policy, the EU ETS quota EUA has become the benchmark carbon price in the global carbon market