科学决策,是领导者的基本职能之一。各级领导者无疑都是在不同层次的岗位上,担负着繁重的决策任务。然而,决策能否获得成功,很大程度上取决于决策者对客观事物的本质及其规律性的认识是否正确。预见能力是认识能力中的重要组成部分,因此,从一定意义上说,决策的成功与否,取决于是否具有 Scientific decision-making is one of the basic functions of the leader. There is no doubt that leaders at all levels are shouldering heavy tasks in decision-making at different levels of posts. However, the success of decision-making depends to a large extent on the correct understanding of policy makers about the nature of the objective things and their regularity. Foreseeability is an important part of cognitive ability, so in a certain sense, the success of decision-making depends on whether it has