“中国房地产到今天,我认为2014年是进入下半场开始的元年。”判断房地产形势是一个非常不讨好的事,我觉得真正的判断形势在中国就是摸着石头过河,从来都是。中央经济工作会议的6条,实际上跟我要讲的东西是完全相对应的,而中央经济工作会议很可能是判断未来一个基本的要点。判断中国房地产市场,第一,不能行老外怎么说,老外从来没有说对过,包括国外媒体和国外经济学家从来没有说对过。我们都可以翻查他们说过的那些话,他们都是不用多长时间都改了预测,而且老外改自己的预测从来不 “China real estate today, I think 2014 is the first year into the second half. ” Judging the real estate situation is a very thankless thing, I think the real judge of the situation in China is feeling the stones across the river, has always been . The six articles of the Central Economic Work Conference actually correspond exactly to what I want to talk about. The Central Economic Work Conference is likely to be a basic point for judging the future. Judge the Chinese real estate market, first, can not do foreigners how to say, foreigners have never said yes, including foreign media and foreign economists have never said yes. We can all check what they say, they do not have to change the forecast for how long, and foreigners to change their own forecast never