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20 0 4年全球经济保持上升趋势 ,为拉美经济全面复苏提供了良好的外部条件。从内部看 ,拉美各国采取的宏观经济政策对促进经济增长发挥了积极作用 ,经常账户连续两年出现盈余 ;外国直接投资有所回升 ,对外投资大幅增加 ;融资环境改善 ,财政收支好转 ;汇率相对稳定 ,通货膨胀得到控制。但从社会和经济结构来看 ,拉美经济复苏的基础仍很脆弱 ,贫困、失业和通货膨胀将长期困扰拉美各国。拉美经济主要受美国经济、原油价格及中、日、欧盟经济形势的影响较大 ,预计 2 0 0 5年可望继续保持较快的增长势头。
The global economy maintained an upward trend in 2014, providing favorable external conditions for the full recovery of Latin America’s economy. Internally, the macroeconomic policies adopted by Latin American countries have played an active role in boosting economic growth. The current account has surged for two consecutive years. Foreign direct investment has picked up and foreign investment has risen sharply. The financing environment has improved and fiscal revenue has improved. Exchange rates Relatively stable, inflation is under control. However, judging from the social and economic structure, the basis for Latin American economic recovery remains fragile. Poverty, unemployment and inflation will long plague Latin American countries. The Latin American economy is mainly affected by the U.S. economy, crude oil prices and the economic situation in China, Japan and the EU. It is estimated that the economy in 2005 is expected to maintain a relatively fast growth momentum.