本文对1991年至2014年我国稻谷价格变动特征及影响因素进行分析,发现我国稻谷价格的变化经历了两个阶段:1991年至2002年为第一个阶段,稻谷价格先呈现上升趋势,后呈现下降趋势;2002年之后为第二个阶段,稻谷价格在整体上呈现上升趋势,增长趋势相对比较平稳;稻谷期末储备对价格影响为负,稻谷期初储备、产量、进口对价格影响为正。 This paper analyzes the characteristics and influencing factors of rice price change from 1991 to 2014 in our country and finds that the change of rice price in China has gone through two stages: from 1991 to 2002, the first stage, the price of rice shows an upward trend first, and then presents The price of rice in the second stage after 2002 shows an upward trend and a relatively steady growth trend. The impact of the reserve at the end of rice on the price is negative, and the effect of reserves, output and import on the price at the beginning of the rice is positive.