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本文通过分析影响证券市场波动的内外部因素以及市场的运行特征 等,论证了我国证券市场的运行系统是一个复杂的非线性系统。而非线性系统在无外 部因素的作用就能够进入混沌均衡,导致系统剧烈振动,甚至崩溃。文章找出了我国 证券市场步入混沌均衡的原因是投资主体的投资方式单一,投资品种少。最后提出了 消除市场大幅波动的有效途径是实现证券市场的多元化,这是我国证券市场未来稳 定、繁荣发展的方向。
This article demonstrates that the operating system of China’s securities market is a complex non-linear system by analyzing the internal and external factors that affect the volatility of the securities market and the operating characteristics of the market. However, the non-linear system can enter the chaos equilibrium without any external factors, causing the system to vibrate violently or even collapse. The article finds out that the chaotic equilibrium of China’s securities market is due to the single investment style and few investment varieties. Finally, it puts forward that the effective way to eliminate the sharp market volatility is to realize the diversification of the securities market, which is the direction for the future stable and prosperous development of the securities market in our country.