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评估 HIV 流行的经济影响出现了某些明显地困难性挑战。通过病毒学和统计学的某些不确定因素以及通过受害者的特殊的人口统计来预报病例数目是麻烦的。预防战略的作用尚不清楚,治疗方法的迅速变化使得预报保健费用往往靠碰运气。用人力资本法模型来评价社会费用,因缺乏 HIV 感染者的收入及其消费的资料而受到影响。政策的变化很可能并且明显地影响着付款者的费用负担及其公布。
There are some clearly difficult challenges in assessing the economic impact of the HIV epidemic. It is cumbersome to predict the number of cases through certain uncertainties in virology and statistics and through the victim’s special demographics. The role of prevention strategies is not yet clear, and rapid changes in treatment methods have often led to predictions of health care costs. The use of the human capital model to evaluate social costs is affected by the lack of information on the income and consumption of people living with HIV. Changes in policy are likely and clearly affect the payroll’s cost burden and its publication.