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即使中国水泥行业整体产能扩张的脚步已经停了下来,但在建项目的陆续投产也将会给水泥市场带来变化。一些地区的产能过剩可能超出人们的预期。2009年,四川多数企业还预计2010年当地水泥价格只会有小幅下滑,严重过剩在2011年才可能出现。但实际上,随着上半年众多生产线投产,四川水泥价格一路下行,跌幅深达100元/吨左右。此外,在河南、湖北等地也都出现严重过剩情况,企业生存状况恶化。
Even though the pace of expansion of the overall capacity of the cement industry in China has been halted, the successive projects under construction will also bring changes to the cement market. Overcapacity in some areas may exceed people’s expectations. In 2009, most enterprises in Sichuan also predicted that the local cement prices will only slightly decline in 2010, and the serious surplus will not emerge until 2011. However, in fact, with many production lines put into operation in the first half of the year, the price of cement in Sichuan went down by as much as 100 yuan / ton. In addition, serious overcommitments also occurred in places such as Henan and Hubei, deteriorating the living conditions of enterprises.