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今年以来,世界经济面临许多难题,西亚北非政局动荡,日本经济遭受地震海啸及核泄漏危机,欧元区外围国家主权债务危机依然严峻,通货膨胀开始从新兴市场国家向发达国家蔓延。但这些难题没有改变全球经济温和复苏的基本趋势,一季度实现了4.3%的增长率。总体来看,尽管全球经济没有出现期望中的加快现象,但二次衰退的风险较小。根据IMF的最新预测,2011年世界经济将增长4.3%,虽然低于去年5.1%的水平,考虑到基数因素,全球经济仍维持温和复苏趋势,可为我国经济平稳发展提供较好的外部环境。
Since the beginning of this year, the world economy has faced many challenges. Political instability in West Asia and North Africa, the earthquake and tsunami in Japan, and the nuclear leak crisis have caused the sovereign debt crisis in the peripheral areas of the Eurozone to remain grim. Inflation has begun to spread from emerging market countries to developed countries. However, these challenges did not change the basic trend of a moderate global economic recovery, achieving a 4.3% growth rate in the first quarter. Overall, the risk of a second recession is small, despite the absence of the expected acceleration in the global economy. According to the IMF’s latest forecast, the world economy will grow by 4.3% in 2011. Although it is below the level of 5.1% last year, taking into account the base factor, the global economy will maintain a moderate recovery trend and provide a favorable external environment for the steady development of China’s economy.