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展望2009年,在金融危机席卷全球、国内外经济出现衰退的大背景下,一方面石化产品下游需求明显减缓,另一方面将进入产能释放的高峰,这使得我国石化市场面临严峻形势和艰难处境。根据乙烯下游产品需求量折合,预计2009年国内乙烯当量需求约为2160万吨,比2008年增长0.9%;国内五大合成树脂需求为4015万吨,增长2.9%;国内合纤原料需求量2515万吨左右,增长约3.1%;国内合成橡胶消费将较2008年有所减少,全年顺丁橡胶与丁苯橡胶(固)需求量预计分别为60万吨和89万吨左右,同比分别减少8.7%和3.9%。
Looking forward to 2009, under the background of global financial crisis sweeping the global economic recession, on the one hand the downstream demand of petrochemical products slowed down obviously and on the other hand, it will enter the peak of capacity release, which will make the petrochemical market of our country face harsh situation and difficult situation . According to the demand of ethylene downstream products, the domestic demand for ethylene equivalent is estimated to be 21.6 million tons in 2009, up 0.9% over 2008; the demand for the top five domestic synthetic resins is 40.15 million tons, up 2.9%; the domestic demand for synthetic fiber raw materials is 25.15 million Ton, an increase of about 3.1%; domestic synthetic rubber consumption will be reduced compared with 2008, the annual demand for butadiene rubber and styrene butadiene rubber (solid) is expected to be 600,000 tons and 890,000 tons, respectively, year-on-year reduction of 8.7 % And 3.9%.