面临“互联网+”时代,企业未来的发展路径变得更具不确定性。因此,基于预测、管理、控制的传统经典管理理论迅速变得不合时宜。经典科学管理理论的核心是假定企业领导在运用一系列强大的分析工具后,能够准确预测任何业务的前景,从而选择明确的业务发展方向。该过程通常要人们在低估不确定性的情况下,勾画一幅可以用DCF核算的相当准确的前景。有相当一部分传统企业会在每年年底,由企 Facing the “Internet + ” era, the future path of enterprise development has become more uncertain. Therefore, the traditional classical management theory based on prediction, management and control quickly becomes outdated. At the heart of classical science management theory is the assumption that business leaders, with the use of a range of powerful analytical tools, are able to accurately predict the prospects for any business and thus choose a clear direction for business development. This process usually requires people to profile a fairly accurate outlook that can be accounted for using the DCF, while underestimating the uncertainty. A considerable part of the traditional enterprises will be at the end of each year by the enterprises