世界经济就像一列巨型列车,正在缓慢地驶向增长的顶峰。或许不久就将开始其漫长匠滑坡之旅,驶向一个低水平的可持续发展阶段。曾经领先走向顶峰的发达国家准备再次领先,不过这次是领先滑坡。生态系统的先例表明:只要在社会与环境生命支持系统保持平衡的情况下,减少资产、人口及不必要的包袱,人类社会就可以在转折和衰退的过程中保持繁荣。通过保存那些最为重要的信息,一个经瘦身的社会能够重组自身而继续前进。这种情形如同人的大脑,有规则将一些不太重要的信息放到短期记忆区而将一些重要的信息存储于长期记忆区。衰退的原因是全球的可用资源在日益减少。每年,人们需要付出更多的努力才能获取满足一切基本需要的燃料、水、木材、鱼、土壤、食物、电能及矿产品。由于满足人们私人生活需要的剩余资源比较少,经济越来越集中到这些资源上来。由于经济全球化的发展,越来越多的资源从其他国家转移到发达国家,用于支撑其经济的发展。资源集 The world economy is like a giant train, slowly moving towards the pinnacle of growth. Perhaps its long-awaited landslide trip will soon begin its journey towards a low-level sustainable development. Developed countries, once leading the way to the summit, are ready to lead yet again, but this time they are leading the way. The ecosystem precedent shows that human society can prosper in the midst of a turning point and a recession as long as assets, people and unnecessary burdens are reduced in the balance between social and environmental life support systems. By preserving the most important messages, a downsized society can reorganize itself and move on. This situation, like the human brain, has rules that place less important information in short-term memory and store some important information in long-term memory. The reason for the recession is the diminishing availability of resources globally. Every year, more needs to be done to get the fuel, water, timber, fish, soil, food, electricity and minerals that meet all the basic needs. As the remaining resources to meet the needs of private life are few, the economy is increasingly focused on these resources. Due to the development of economic globalization, more and more resources have been transferred from other countries to developed countries to support their economic development. Resource set