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Meps(欧洲)公司预测,1996年世界粗钢产量为7.5亿 t,大部分钢将用高炉生铁生产;生铁总产量可能为5.3亿 t,略高于1995年的5.26亿 t。Meps 称生铁增产受废钢价昂影响,而且生铁将成为电炉炉料的替代物。废钢价昂还可望促进直接还原铁的增产。1996年北美钢产量因美国、加拿大减产将比去年减少110万 t,减到1.2亿 t,但墨西哥钢产量将增。北美库存量大,预计1996年后期将出现供大于求的情况,导致第3和第4季度钢产量下降,这样,美国钢总产量将比上年减110万 t,加拿大将减40万 t。Meps 预测,欧盟15个成员国今年将生产1.52亿 t 粗钢,比上年的1.56亿 t 减2.5%。扁
Meps Europe forecasts that in 1996, the world crude steel production was 750 million tons, most of which will be made from blast-furnace pig iron. The total pig iron production may be 530 million tons, slightly higher than the 526 million tons in 1995. Meps said pig iron production is affected by scrap prices, and pig iron will become an alternative to EAF charge. The high scrap prices are also expected to boost the production of DRI. North American steel production in 1996 due to the United States, Canada cut production will be reduced by 1.1 million t last year, reduced to 120 million tons, but Mexican steel production will increase. With large inventories in North America, oversupply is expected in late 1996, leading to declines in the third and fourth quarters of steel production, which would reduce U.S. steel production by 1.1 million tonnes from the previous year and Canada by 400,000 tonnes. Meps predicts that the 15 EU member states will produce 152 million t of crude steel this year, down 2.5% from 156 million t of the previous year. flat