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GM(1,1)model based on the original statistics of the tour market information in Tianjin from 2005 to 2010,and the model is applied to predict the scale of Tianjin and tour market in the following 5years.The results of prediction attained by Residual Test and Relational Inspection are satisfied,testifying the GM(1,1)model is accurate.In conclusion,this forecasting method and its results are of some reference value on the tour destination programming.