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本文在古典经济增长模型基础上,构建了经济增长俱乐部收敛的空间计量分析模型,利用1978~2010年31个省份的宏观经济截面数据对中国区域金融发展的空间布局和时空演进特征进行描述,分析二者的空间分布演进规律,以检验和论证区域金融发展状态与经济增长之间的一致性和因果关系。计量研究发现,我国区域经济在发展过程中存在俱乐部收敛,东、中、西的经济发展水平差异影响了收敛速度,区域金融发展影响下的经济发展状态是相对收敛的。因此,国家需要通过相应宏观金融政策的引导,缩小各地区金融发展的差距,促进我国区域经济均衡发展。
Based on the classical economic growth model, this paper constructs the spatial econometrical analysis model of the convergence of economic growth clubs, and uses the macroeconomic cross-sectional data of 31 provinces from 1978 to 2010 to describe the spatial distribution and evolution characteristics of regional financial development in China. The spatial distribution of the two evolves to verify and verify the consistency and causality between the regional financial development and economic growth. The econometric research shows that there exists club convergence in the development of regional economy in our country, and the differences in economic development levels of East, Central and West affect the convergence rate. The state of economic development under the influence of regional financial development is relatively convergent. Therefore, the state needs to guide the corresponding macro-financial policies to narrow the gap between financial development in different regions and promote the balanced development of China’s regional economy.